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The Cold Table Hedge

Don't Pass, then Come, Come, Don't Come, keeping two bets on each side. We ran it through 40,000 simulated hour-long sessions (100 rolls each, $15 table, real casino payouts) to see what actually happens.

The verdictHedging smooths your results and stretches a small bankroll, but it doesn't make money: every bet still carries a house edge, so you pay it on both sides.
Average result per hourโˆ’$18
Sessions you finish ahead43%
Typical hour (middle 80%)โˆ’$195 to $165
Hours down $500 at some point0.1%

How the Cold Table Hedge works

Start with $15 on the Don't Pass. During the point, make Come bets and a Don't Come bet until you have two bets on the "light" side and two on the "dark" side, replacing each one as it resolves. On a choppy table, the idea is that wins on one side offset losses on the other.

Bets: Don't Pass, Come, Come, Don't Come โ€” $15 each.

What 40,000 simulated hours look like

โˆ’$345 to โˆ’$318โˆ’$318 to โˆ’$291โˆ’$291 to โˆ’$264โˆ’$264 to โˆ’$238โˆ’$238 to โˆ’$211โˆ’$211 to โˆ’$184โˆ’$184 to โˆ’$157โˆ’$157 to โˆ’$130โˆ’$130 to โˆ’$103โˆ’$103 to โˆ’$76โˆ’$76 to โˆ’$49โˆ’$49 to โˆ’$23โˆ’$23 to $4$4 to $31$31 to $58$58 to $85$85 to $112$112 to $139$139 to $166$166 to $193$193 to $219$219 to $246$246 to $273$273 to $300break evenโˆ’$345$300
Each bar is a range of results for one hour (100 rolls). Green bars are winning hours, red are losing hours.
OutcomeResult
Average (what it costs you over time)โˆ’$18
Median hourโˆ’$15
Bad hour (1 in 10 are worse)โˆ’$195
Good hour (1 in 10 are better)$165
Best 1% of hours$300 or more
Worst 1% of hoursโˆ’$345 or worse

Out of the 11 strategies we've simulated, the Cold Table Hedge ranks #7 for lowest average cost per hour. See the full ranking.

Try the Cold Table Hedge free. We'll set the bets up on our table with real casino rules and minimums. No money, no signup.

Play it now โ†’

How we tested it

Each session is 100 rolls (about an hour at a busy table) starting on a new shooter, using standard Vegas rules: 3-4-5x odds, casino payouts rounded down, place bets off on the come-out, and a $5,000 table max. At the end of the hour we stop betting, take down removable bets and let contract bets finish. "Down $500" counts any point in the hour where the session was $500 behind. Dice come from a cryptographic random generator. Results are practice estimates, not predictions.

Other strategies

Common questions

Does hedging reduce the house edge?

No. It reduces how much your bankroll swings, but you pay the edge on every bet on both sides.

Why do people hedge?

For longer sessions on a small bankroll, and for casino comps, which are based on flat bets.

What's a better way to reduce swings?

Bet smaller with fewer odds, or regress after a hit.