Updated September 23, 2026 · How we simulate
Martingale on the Pass Line loses about $40 per hour on average at a $15 table (100 rolls, $15 pass, double after every loss (table max $5,000)). You finish ahead in 91% of hours, and it ranks #10 of 11 popular strategies for lowest cost.
Double your Pass Line bet after every loss and reset after a win. We ran it through 200,000 simulated hour-long sessions (100 rolls each, $15 table, real casino payouts) to see what actually happens.
Start at $15. Every time you lose, double the bet ($30, $60, $120…). When you finally win, you recover all the losses plus $15, then drop back to $15. It "always wins"… until a losing streak hits the table max or your bankroll.
Bets: $15 pass, double after every loss (table max $5,000).
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Average (what it costs you over time) | −$40 |
| Median hour | $195 |
| Bad hour (1 in 10 are worse) | $45 |
| Good hour (1 in 10 are better) | $285 |
| Best 1% of hours | $360 or more |
| Worst 1% of hours | −$7,530 or worse |
Out of the 11 strategies we've simulated, Martingale on the Pass Line ranks #10 for lowest average cost per hour. See the full ranking.
Try Martingale on the Pass Line free. We'll set the bets up on our table with real casino rules and minimums. No money, no signup.
Play it now →Each session is 100 rolls (about an hour at a busy table) starting on a new shooter, using standard Vegas rules: 3-4-5x odds, casino payouts rounded down, place bets off on the come-out, and a $5,000 table max. At the end of the hour we stop betting, take down removable bets and let contract bets finish. "Down $500" counts any point in the hour where the session was $500 behind. Dice come from a cryptographic random generator. Results are practice estimates, not predictions.
Losing streaks are rarer than you'd think but not rare enough. Eight losses in a row turns a $15 bet into $1,920, and the table max stops you before you can recover.
In our simulation, about 1 in 5 hour-long sessions saw a $500 drawdown.
Positive progressions (pressing when you win) risk house money instead of yours, which is a far safer way to chase a hot table.